A couple of weeks ago I pointed out that the Accumulation Distribution Line (ADL) for silver was showing significant upward pressure on the price of silver. Below you can see that we have the same situation in gold.
In May, I presented what appeared to be an extremely bullish divergence between the price of silver and its Accumulation-Distribution Line (ADL). I asked whether the price of silver would rise to meet its ADL or would the ADL fall to match the price? Two and a half months later, there has been absolutely no resolution to this situation. The divergence remains, and if anything, has actually increased slightly.
It’s almost cognitive dissonance the way the financial markets go about their business. Everyone knows that the United States is bankrupt. Everyone knows that US Treasuries are a bubble. Yet, it’s the first place everyone runs to when things start to get messy.
Precious metals investors are clearly on the sidelines as prices have suffered severe declines in the past few months. Now, though, that are indicators that prices have bottomed. Analysis of the COT Report suggest that the Large Commercials (LCs) are not position for lower prices, which may indicate that a bottom is being put in.
In addition to the classic reverse head and shoulders pattern forming in silver, there is another very interesting bullish indicator currently. But first, credit to where credit is due. This is not my observation, but that of poster SRSrocco over on the TFMetals boards.
Anyone who has been paying attention to the precious metals world over the last couple of years is well aware of the circumstantial evidence of price manipulation. None of which is particularly surprising, as all the way up through the gold pool of the late 1960s, it has been the open policy of the US and UK governments to control the dollar price of gold.
A friend of mine, who was struggling with the idea of buying gold, lamented that gold only had any value if someone else perceived it to. Yes that’s true. As it is for everything, whether you’re talking about a share of Apple stock or a 1977 Chevy Malibu.
Let me start by saying that I am not a technical analyst. Consider the following to be for learning or entertainment purposes only. If you take a look at the silver chart from last October there appears to be a classic reverse head and shoulders pattern forming with a neckline in the $36-37 area. This is considered to be a very bullish formation.
A paradigm shift in silver could result in explosive price moves to the upside. Steve St. Angelo predicts such a paradigm shift.
ell, here’s an interesting tidbit from the Treasury Borrowing Advisory Committee (TBAC) compliments of Zerohedge. Their latest letter to Timothy Geithner contained the following paragraph: “There was a lengthy discussion regarding the bid-to-cover ratios…