In The stock market is managing the Fed, I said that the Fed will put off raising interest rate until after September because of stock market action. Now, the IMF is using the same reasoning in arguing that the Fed should wait until 2016 before raising interest rates.
One of the reasons gold and silver prices are stuck in a narrow trade range is that stocks are stuck in a narrow trading range. Still, widely-followed indexes recently made new highs, specifically the S&P 500, the NASDAQ and the Dow Industrials. However, the much ignored (except by professionals) Dow Transportation index is some 850
Despite our constant attention to news, we listen and view with disdain, knowing full well that what we hear and see is often distorted to get us to react and think in specific ways. In short, the news is slanted. Sometimes, slanted news coverage is exposed, but rarely is it exposed as was the case
After not being significantly large enough to make headlines for years, the US trade deficit is back in the news after ballooning 40% to $51 billion in March. $37.8 billion of the deficit was with China. The CBO projects a record high $486 billion trade deficit for fiscal 2015.
While speculation is spreading that the Bank of Japan may increase its bond-buying program, with the dual goals of increasing economic activity and filliping the rate of inflation to 2 percent, influential members of the money establishment are asking “Is 2 percent inflation high enough?”
Following the March 18 “Statement” by the FOMC that any interest rate increase would probably not come until September, stocks moved from negative territory into big upside gains. Truly, the markets liked the idea that any interest rate hike would put off until later in the year. However, the following week the Dow Industrials plunged
Expectations of when the Fed will hike interest rates are driving the markets. However, no interest rate increase is likely to come from the Fed until at least June–if not farther out–according to Fed statements following the March FOMC meeting. This means that the federal funds rate will remain at the target of zero to
Charles Plosser and Richard Fisher, presidents of the Philadelphia and Dallas Feds, respectively, announced plans to retire, leaving the Fed in the hands of inflation doves who seemingly have no fear of inflation.
China is the latest to join the money printing binge, this time printing the equivalent of $81 billion. The goal: to fillip an economy that grew in August at “only a 6.9 percent” annualized rate. If the US economy were growing at 6.9 percent, the Dow would be at 25,000. The world’s central bankers are