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With the price of gold climbing, we are once again starting to hear the clarion cries warning us of a gold bubble. But how does one objectively evaluate that claim? The first step is to understand what a bubble means. A bubble occurs when there is a large disconnect between something’s price and its worth.
Meet the blogger who may have just saved the US economy. Yes, that’s the title of a blog celebrating Bentley University professor Scott Sumner’s championing of the latest and greatest Keynesian scheme to steal from the middle class. He calls it Nominal GDP targeting, but at this point it’s more like looting a burning building.
A couple of weeks ago I pointed out that the Accumulation Distribution Line (ADL) for silver was showing significant upward pressure on the price of silver. Below you can see that we have the same situation in gold.
There’s an interesting interview with Marshall Auerback of Pinetree Captial Management posted over on Mineweb.com. It’s interesting not because of any particular subject matter, but rather the complete contradictions presented therein. The first half consists of a well-reasoned case for owning gold and why it is being remonetized in an overextended financial system. By contrast, the second half is a fallacy laden justification of many of the failed policies that are driving people to own gold.
In May, I presented what appeared to be an extremely bullish divergence between the price of silver and its Accumulation-Distribution Line (ADL). I asked whether the price of silver would rise to meet its ADL or would the ADL fall to match the price? Two and a half months later, there has been absolutely no resolution to this situation. The divergence remains, and if anything, has actually increased slightly.
While several heads of Federal Reserve Banks have called for more quantitative easing, Boston’s Fed Head Eric Rosengren has upped the ante and is calling for “open-ended” quantitative easing of a “substantial magnitude.” No joke. Apparently, Rosengren has bought the John Law/John Maynard Keynes position that money is merely a medium of exchange and that
Recently, on CNBC’s Squawk Box, Paul Krugman ran into some surprisingly strong skepticism about his calls for more government spending. It was clear from the onset that no one was buying into the Keynesian philosophy that infinite government spending will save us all. It wasn’t easy, but the interviewers finally managed to tie him down as to how much spending is too much.
Paul Craig Roberts is the former Assistant Treasury Secretary under Reagan. He is also a man who is not very popular in Washington. The following interview is as good a reason as any why that is.
It’s almost cognitive dissonance the way the financial markets go about their business. Everyone knows that the United States is bankrupt. Everyone knows that US Treasuries are a bubble. Yet, it’s the first place everyone runs to when things start to get messy.
In addition to the classic reverse head and shoulders pattern forming in silver, there is another very interesting bullish indicator currently. But first, credit to where credit is due. This is not my observation, but that of poster SRSrocco over on the TFMetals boards.
