Currently there is much speculation about whether the Fed will continue quantitative tightening or return to quantitative easing. In 2018, newly appointed Fed Chair Jay Powell indicated that 2019 would see four rate hikes. However, he has since backed off on that forecast.
“If you asked me to look across the commodity landscape and pick what I liked best, it would be gold. Literally, just this morning I saw that central banks are buying lots of gold. Sam Zell is buying lots of gold. You can try to fade this (bet against it) if you want, but it’s
Whenever corporate debt-to-GDP has had sharp runups, reaching levels of 40% plus, recessions have followed. Three times since 1986, aggressive taking on of corporate debt has been followed by recessions.
David Stockman issues one of the most thought-provoking newsletters I’ve read in years. He combines his experience in the Reagan administration as Budget Director with his more than 30 years in the investment world, much of it with some of the best-known firms on Wall Street, to present views rarely found elsewhere. Stockman has constantly
In the irony of ironies, the central bank of Switzerland recently bailed out the manufacturer of the polymer material used in the new Swiss 10-franc notes. Swiss National Bank purchased a 90% stake in Landqart AG after the company got into financial difficulties. The SNB is known for its huge investments in equities, with Apple,
Recently a client wrote: “In 2004, I started buying gold and silver because of increasing US debt, thinking that inflation would come about and the dollar would suffer. Now David Stockman (former Budget Director under Ronald Reagan) forecasts imminent doom for the stock and the bond markets. And, I agree that it will most likely
There are many dangers–not to mention moral issues–of money created out of “thin air.” One of the dangers is that it distorts the markets and results in bad investments during “booms,” which inevitably turn to “busts.” During the busts, the bad investments wash out. Another is that it is easy to use. The economy slows,
In Thursday’s post, I noted that central banks are adding approximately $2 trillion a year to the world’s money supply. Most of that freshly-created money goes into government bonds. However, some of it goes into equities. That’s right, stocks, like those traded on the NYSE and the NASDAQ. The Swiss National Bank and the Bank
According to David Stockman, who served as Budget Director under Ronald Reagan, the world’s central banks are adding some $2 trillion annually to the world’s money supply. This is on top of the trillions that were added with multiple quantitative easing programs by the Fed, the European Central Bank and the Bank of Japan since
One of the reasons that gold and silver are safe investments is that today central bank printing of paper money is widely accepted. Additionally, there are no limits on how much money central banks can create. The graph shows the balance sheets of the European Central Bank, the Fed and the Bank of Japan. Note