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Supposedly, the White House is about to promise a balanced budget by 2034. I’ve been down that road many times in my 45 years of monitoring federal budgets, and it never happens. Making this promise even more ridiculous is that it is based on a projected GDP growth of 3% for the next 15 years.
Want a reliable indicator of where the economy is headed? Look no further than the chart below.
The Fed (specifically, FOMC: federal open market committee) has been manipulating interest rates for decades. David Stockman says since 1973, which was only two years after Nixon “closed the gold window.” With the Treasury no longer having to redeem dollars in gold, massive dollar printing began, first in small amounts (millions) but by 2008 in
In September, when gold was trading in the $1200 range, Morgan Stanley, a major Wall Street investment house, predicted $1300 gold by year end. It’s now year-end, and gold did not hit $1300; however, it did climb to $1280, making the forecast a really good one. Two developments that Morgan Stanley thought could send gold
The video “Why economic collapse never comes” was viewed more than 47,000 times before it was pulled with no explanation givern. In short, it said that economic collapse never comes because of the Establishment’s ability to create money out of thin air. True, the Fed’s ability to create money can forestall economic declines, but the
It is not decided whether the housing industry is a coincident indicator of economic activity or a leading indicator. Yet when the housing industry slows, it is not a good sign.
David Stockman, Budget Director (1977-1981) under Ronald Reagan, offers unique analyses on today’s economic and political developments. Unlike a lot of analysts, Stockman has a grasp of the economic situation and political developments. He is a bear on stocks and on the economy. Below are links to recent Bloomberg interviews with him.
“The great financial crisis of 2007/08 will be eclipsed. In a nutshell, this time the quantity of new money required will likely lead to the destruction of the “full faith and credit” in the currencies themselves, which until now has been broadly unquestioned by ordinary members of the public.” — Alasdair Macleod
Listening to analysts and economists who are frequent guests on financial programs, you might conclude that higher interest rates — which the Fed is imposing — will be good for the economy. No, they won’t.
According to news wire reports, gold’s $20 plus upside move today is part of a rush to safe havens. US Treasuries are up also, which means that yields are down. The blame, again according to reports, lies with the tariffs that Trump laid on Chinese imports. China fired back with tariffs of its own. Will
