1) Covid-19 is a severe supply side shock, but main street will bounce back once the public health separation orders are relaxed in the months ahead. The idea of a Depression is nonsense because main street capitalism does not have a death wish. Households and businesses will creatively find ways to cope, repair, replenish and
With the outbreak of COVID-19 (coronavirus), many economists – including a former Fed president – have called for lower interest rates to head off any recession.
A recent newsletter noted that there has not been a “Black Swan” in a while, a “Black Swan” being an event that comes as a surprise and has a major effect on mankind’s affairs. The coronavirus, now named COVID-19, just rendered that observation invalid.
Warren Buffett is considered the most successful investor of our time. One of the indicators that he follows is the stock market’s total valuation to GDP, which is now flashing red. Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway currently holds in excess of $128 billion in cash. The vertical grey lines in the chart are major recessions. Note how
To “save the world’s economy” in the 2008 World Financial Crisis (WFC), the Federal Reserve led the world’s central banks in printing money, hiking its holdings of T-bills and other bonds – some quite specious – from $900 billion to $4.5 trillion, a five-fold increase.
I read many articles and newsletters about topics that may affect the gold/silver markets. The one I never miss is David Stockman’s Contra Corner. Stockman was Budget Director during Ronald Reagan’s first term. Below is the start of his blog post for Thursday, December 19, 2019. “The Turbulent Twenties begin 13 days from now. It
There was a time when going to work for a major U.S. corporation set Americans on a path to the middle class with secure retirements. No more.
The US Federal Reserve and the European Union’s central bank recently announced plans to inject massive liquidity into their respective money markets. However, the Fed denies that its buying is another quantitative easing program while the ECB admits that it is.
Not seen in the news, but the national debt rose $621 billion in the 4th quarter. That’s at an annualized rate of nearly $2.5 trillion.
Some of the world’s most famous and successful investors have taken positions in gold. It pays to note what successful people do with their money. “Some regard [gold] as a metal, we regard it as a currency, and it remains our largest currency allocation… – Stanley Druckenmiller. Druckenmiller was chairman and president of Duquesne Capital,