1) Covid-19 is a severe supply side shock, but main street will bounce back once the public health separation orders are relaxed in the months ahead. The idea of a Depression is nonsense because main street capitalism does not have a death wish. Households and businesses will creatively find ways to cope, repair, replenish and
A recent newsletter noted that there has not been a “Black Swan” in a while, a “Black Swan” being an event that comes as a surprise and has a major effect on mankind’s affairs. The coronavirus, now named COVID-19, just rendered that observation invalid.
Since Nixon closed the gold window August 15, 1971, three massive bull market have rewarded precious metals believers handsomely. Each of these bull market runs have been preceded by reckless financial policies.
Opposition to publicly-traded corporations buying back their stock is developing into a hot political issue that may sink the stock market. The amount of money used in buybacks is astounding.
Congress needed to raise the debt ceiling by March 2 but failed to do so. Now, the Treasury cannot sell bonds to pay government bills, such as payments to bond holders and federal benefit recipients.
For decades, politicians have lied to the American people about the status of the Social Security Trust Fund, asserting that incoming taxes are more than adequate to pay benefits for years to come. Now, the latest Trust Report shows that the Fund will be exhausted three years earlier than last year’s projection and more that
It is not decided whether the housing industry is a coincident indicator of economic activity or a leading indicator. Yet when the housing industry slows, it is not a good sign.
Over the last two weeks, the Dow Industrials rose eight of the ten sessions, tacking on more than 800 points for a 3.2% increase and spreading optimism that the bull market is back on track. The Dow hit two records highs this week. According to the Wall Street Journal, investors seems less concerned about the
Silver has hit $50 twice in my 45 years in precious metals bullion business, January 1980 and April 2011. Both times would have been excellent times to have sold. I did not see either and was not a seller. What will be the right move the next time silver hits $50, sell or hold?
Alan Greenspan, Federal Reserve chairman 1987 – 2006, says unfunded entitlement programs are the biggest threat to the dollar. Before discussing how to rectify this problem, consider just how big this problem is.