From Dow Theory Letters, September 21, 2016: “Good news today from both the Fed and the Bank of Japan (BOJ). The Fed announced no rate increases for now, though hinted (or teased, to be honest) that one would come later in the year. In Japan, the BOJ said it would continue an easy monetary policy
Gold and silver have enjoyed huge upside moves so far in September, despite falling short of posting new highs for the year. Still, gold is up 24% on the year and silver 40%. One of the reasons for renewed interest in the metals is the failure of the European Central Bank’s €80 billion a month
Fed Chair Janet Yellen’s July proclamation that “the case for an increase in the federal funds rate has strengthened,” was nullified by a weaker than expected August jobs report. Only 151,000 jobs were added, short of the 180,000 forecast by economists and far short of the 275,000 added in July.
Fed Chair Janet Yellen said, in her prepared remarks at the Jackson Hole symposium, that “Indeed, in light of the continued solid performance of the labor market and our outlook for economic activity and inflation, I believe the case for an increase in the federal funds rate has strengthened in recent months.” The markets did
Despite gold’s stellar performance so far this year, The Financial Times (August 24, 2016) chose to headline a front page article “Gold loses shine as Fed decision looms.” In the Commodities Section, a second piece was titled “Gold heads for monthly drop after investors turn anxious over rate rise and weaker demand.” Regardless gold’s performance,
Central bank actions and expectations of central bank actions are driving investment markets: the bond markets, the equity markets and the metals markets. Economic news does not move the markets, except that markets move on how investors think that central banks will react to economic news.
Metals prices surged Wednesday–as they should have–after the Fed announced no rate hike. Gold jumped 1.6%, silver a whopping 3.7%. The Fed decision was a reaffirmation of a continued loose monetary policy. Gold and silver investors need to keep in mind that the world’s monetary and fiscal policy makers have fully embraced loose money and
In “Cries for more money creation grow louder,” (Feb. 29, 2016) I noted that Financial Times chief economic commentator Martin Wolf called for central banks to deposit money directly into the accounts of all adults in an effort to stimulate economic activity. Now, John Mauldin, noted publisher of numerous advisory services, recently wrote that former
as precious metals surge, says the Financial Times, July 7, 2016. In a glowing report, the Times noted that while “Gold has done predictably well in the wake of Brexit. . . The real star of the show has been silver.” In dollars, silver is up 16% since the Brexit vote but is up 45%
The dollar is a favorite refuge for money seeking safety as the European banking crisis again dominates financial news. Consequently, 10-year US treasury bills are now yielding a record low of 1.39% as money pours into them. (As bond prices are bid higher, yields drop.)