Fed Chair Janet Yellen’s July proclamation that “the case for an increase in the federal funds rate has strengthened,” was nullified by a weaker than expected August jobs report. Only 151,000 jobs were added, short of the 180,000 forecast by economists and far short of the 275,000 added in July.
Fed Chair Janet Yellen said, in her prepared remarks at the Jackson Hole symposium, that “Indeed, in light of the continued solid performance of the labor market and our outlook for economic activity and inflation, I believe the case for an increase in the federal funds rate has strengthened in recent months.” The markets did
Despite gold’s stellar performance so far this year, The Financial Times (August 24, 2016) chose to headline a front page article “Gold loses shine as Fed decision looms.” In the Commodities Section, a second piece was titled “Gold heads for monthly drop after investors turn anxious over rate rise and weaker demand.” Regardless gold’s performance,
Central bank actions and expectations of central bank actions are driving investment markets: the bond markets, the equity markets and the metals markets. Economic news does not move the markets, except that markets move on how investors think that central banks will react to economic news.
Metals prices surged Wednesday–as they should have–after the Fed announced no rate hike. Gold jumped 1.6%, silver a whopping 3.7%. The Fed decision was a reaffirmation of a continued loose monetary policy. Gold and silver investors need to keep in mind that the world’s monetary and fiscal policy makers have fully embraced loose money and
In “Cries for more money creation grow louder,” (Feb. 29, 2016) I noted that Financial Times chief economic commentator Martin Wolf called for central banks to deposit money directly into the accounts of all adults in an effort to stimulate economic activity. Now, John Mauldin, noted publisher of numerous advisory services, recently wrote that former
as precious metals surge, says the Financial Times, July 7, 2016. In a glowing report, the Times noted that while “Gold has done predictably well in the wake of Brexit. . . The real star of the show has been silver.” In dollars, silver is up 16% since the Brexit vote but is up 45%
The dollar is a favorite refuge for money seeking safety as the European banking crisis again dominates financial news. Consequently, 10-year US treasury bills are now yielding a record low of 1.39% as money pours into them. (As bond prices are bid higher, yields drop.)
Not surprisingly, Mark Carney, head of the Bank of England, recently said that the central bank would take “whatever action is needed to support growth” in the aftermath of the Brexit vote. Carney’s statements seemed to have been crafted from Mario Draghi’s repeated promises that the European Central Bank would do “whatever it takes” to
Japan’s economy has been stagnant for two decades. In 2012, Shinzo Abe was elected Prime Minister on his promise of stimulating the economy via a scheme that economists labeled “Abenomics.” Basically, he promised fiscal stimulus, monetary easing and structural reforms. He implemented all three, but Japan’s economy remains in the doldrums. Now the IMF is
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