A while back I caught a Peter Schiff interview on one of the mainstream financial channels where he was recommending gold. The interviewer commented that for every investment thesis there existed a scenario in which the thesis would fail. He asked, what was that scenario for gold? Mr. Schiff replied that it would require massive spending cuts out of Washington DC and a balanced budget.
Well, we’ve heard from Warren Buffet and Charlie Munger on the subject of gold. Looks like it’s time for their young protégé Bill Gates to jump in the ring and throw a few wild punches. Next time though, guys, how about a few dry runs off camera first?
A friend of mine, who was struggling with the idea of buying gold, lamented that gold only had any value if someone else perceived it to. Yes that’s true. As it is for everything, whether you’re talking about a share of Apple stock or a 1977 Chevy Malibu.
Let me start by saying that I am not a technical analyst. Consider the following to be for learning or entertainment purposes only. If you take a look at the silver chart from last October there appears to be a classic reverse head and shoulders pattern forming with a neckline in the $36-37 area. This is considered to be a very bullish formation.
There’s so much confusion in the short term markets regarding QE and its ilk, that it’s easy to get whipsawed into oblivion – or at least complete frustration. You must maintain a steady fix on the big picture. Regardless of what the mainstream media experts would have you believe, none of the problems of the last four or forty years have been solved. In fact all of them are now worse.
I highly encourage you to read the latest interview with Hugo Salinas Price. Mr Price is a retired billionaire who made his fortune via a chain of appliance stores in Mexico. He is also a tireless advocate of sound money. His plan to reintroduce silver as a competing currency in Mexico would make it the most sought after money in the world bar none. It is well worth your time to understand the details of how he proposes to do this.
Political pundits remain amazed at 76-year old Ron Paul’s appeal to America’s youth. When he goes to college campuses, students show up in groves. A couple of years ago, his flight from Houston to Phoenix was weather-delayed for hours, but when he arrived at ASU thousands still waited to hear him speak.
In the GOP presidential debates, when Ron Paul talks about economics he is a giant among pygmies. None challenge him. The best his opponents can come up with is to rail about the need to balance the budget. But, when he brings up the issue of the business cycle, the other candidates look like they want climb under the podium. Further, no moderator has ever sought to question his economic positions.
In 1954, Darrell Huff wrote his classic book How to Lie with Statistics, which covered many popular ways people use and abuse statistics to make them say anything they want. Well, it appears that our good friends at the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) are no stranger to these techniques. Last Friday they released their
Gold serves as the basis of the global monetary system for the simple reason that it exists as a finite, physical store of value. And unlike every issuance of debt or piece of printed money, there is no counter party risk – unless, of course, you don’t actually have the physical gold in your possession. Then it’s no more a basis of one’s reserves than all of the digital money created with a keystroke.