From Dow Theory Letters, September 21, 2016: “Good news today from both the Fed and the Bank of Japan (BOJ). The Fed announced no rate increases for now, though hinted (or teased, to be honest) that one would come later in the year. In Japan, the BOJ said it would continue an easy monetary policy
Gold and silver have enjoyed huge upside moves so far in September, despite falling short of posting new highs for the year. Still, gold is up 24% on the year and silver 40%. One of the reasons for renewed interest in the metals is the failure of the European Central Bank’s €80 billion a month
Fed Chair Janet Yellen’s July proclamation that “the case for an increase in the federal funds rate has strengthened,” was nullified by a weaker than expected August jobs report. Only 151,000 jobs were added, short of the 180,000 forecast by economists and far short of the 275,000 added in July.
Central bank actions and expectations of central bank actions are driving investment markets: the bond markets, the equity markets and the metals markets. Economic news does not move the markets, except that markets move on how investors think that central banks will react to economic news.
Metals prices surged Wednesday–as they should have–after the Fed announced no rate hike. Gold jumped 1.6%, silver a whopping 3.7%. The Fed decision was a reaffirmation of a continued loose monetary policy. Gold and silver investors need to keep in mind that the world’s monetary and fiscal policy makers have fully embraced loose money and
April 15 is behind us, and that gives a feeling of relief to those Americans who labored and toiled in 2015 to provide for themselves and their families while seeing billions of dollars confiscated from their earnings. (And, now they must keep records for years just in case they are later audited by the IRS.)
As noted in G-20 talks up more deficit spending; Deutsche Bank recommends gold, there were loud cries at the Shanghai G-20 Summit for “a worldwide coordinated effort” to head off global recession. Here are a few more details about the G-20 discussions.
Martin Wolf, chief economics commentator at the Financial Times, is calling for the world’s central banks to start electronically depositing money “to every adult citizen.” Wolf’s not calling on only the Fed to implement this policy but all the world’s central banks, which would mean massive inflation around the world that would send investors scurrying
Mario Draghi, ECB chief, again reaffirmed his pledge to print more euros next month in a Keynesian effort to fillip economic activity in the eurozone. In December, the ECB’s measures fell short of market expectations, and stock markets declined. This time Draghi does not plan to disappoint.
To Keynesians, easy solutions reside for monetary and economic problems. When the economy is in recession, deficit spend. When inflation heats up (meaning rising prices, which the developed world hasn’t seen for some time), choke back the money supply. Problems solved. Recessions are averted; inflation is held in check. So, if “managing” the economy is
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