Despite recents price declines, gold and silver remain in long-term bull markets. The primary driver of prices is the expansive monetary policy of the US since President Nixon closed the gold window in 1971. Having absolutely no links to gold enabled the Fed to create trillions of dollars in the wake of the panic of 2008. Massive monetary inflation is followed by massive price inflation.
In the GOP presidential debates, when Ron Paul talks about economics he is a giant among pygmies. None challenge him. The best his opponents can come up with is to rail about the need to balance the budget. But, when he brings up the issue of the business cycle, the other candidates look like they want climb under the podium. Further, no moderator has ever sought to question his economic positions.
The issue of where a central bank stores its gold remains on the forefront. The Dutch people want to know where the Dutch gold is stored. Venezuela called home some 160 tons that previously was held in the US, London and Canada. China has made it clear where its gold is to be with the
ell, here’s an interesting tidbit from the Treasury Borrowing Advisory Committee (TBAC) compliments of Zerohedge. Their latest letter to Timothy Geithner contained the following paragraph: “There was a lengthy discussion regarding the bid-to-cover ratios…
Gold serves as the basis of the global monetary system for the simple reason that it exists as a finite, physical store of value. And unlike every issuance of debt or piece of printed money, there is no counter party risk – unless, of course, you don’t actually have the physical gold in your possession. Then it’s no more a basis of one’s reserves than all of the digital money created with a keystroke.
The Establishment disses gold while central banks, icons of the Establishment, load up big. The third quarter saw the most central bank buying for a single quarter in forty years, and this year is on pace to see the most central bank gold buying since the collapse of the Bretton Woods Agreement in 1971.
If you’ve watched the news for any length of time you’ve probably heard mention of speculators and how they seem to be responsible for much of what ills us. Last week, Japan’s Finance Minister Jun Azumi said that a massive intervention in the Yen market was necessary as there were signs of speculation. Much of the price inflation in commodities over the last decade has been…
Various reports coming out of last week’s G20 meeting in Cannes are suggesting that some member countries had proposed Germany use its gold reserves as collateral for a Eurozone bailout fund. This brought a series of quick and unequivocal responses:
When gold topped $1900, there was much talk about gold being in a bubble. With the subsequent decline, many gold naysayers declared themselves vindicated. Gold denigraters remain wrong. Gold is a long way from a bubble. That the World Gold Council has to urges Wall Street to invest as little as 3.3% in gold is evidence just how far away gold’s top is.
Many precious metals investors are perplexed in the metals inability to move higher with all the negative financial news. Athens is aflame (literally) as the euro crisis remains unsolved; the GOP seems to be foundering in deciding on which candidate will face Obama next year;and the US continues to borrow forty cents of every dollar it spends, with real solution in sight. So, why are gold and silver not surging? In my view, it’s period of consolidation, and I think that Gene Arensberg’s latest Got Gold Report back me up.