From Dow Theory Letters, September 21, 2016: “Good news today from both the Fed and the Bank of Japan (BOJ). The Fed announced no rate increases for now, though hinted (or teased, to be honest) that one would come later in the year. In Japan, the BOJ said it would continue an easy monetary policy
Fed Chair Janet Yellen’s July proclamation that “the case for an increase in the federal funds rate has strengthened,” was nullified by a weaker than expected August jobs report. Only 151,000 jobs were added, short of the 180,000 forecast by economists and far short of the 275,000 added in July.
Fed Chair Janet Yellen said, in her prepared remarks at the Jackson Hole symposium, that “Indeed, in light of the continued solid performance of the labor market and our outlook for economic activity and inflation, I believe the case for an increase in the federal funds rate has strengthened in recent months.” The markets did
Despite gold’s stellar performance so far this year, The Financial Times (August 24, 2016) chose to headline a front page article “Gold loses shine as Fed decision looms.” In the Commodities Section, a second piece was titled “Gold heads for monthly drop after investors turn anxious over rate rise and weaker demand.” Regardless gold’s performance,
Is the US economy slowing down, which will prompt more Fed stimulus, or is it “dramatically better” as NY Fed President William C. Dudley said in a recent New York Times interview, which will allow the Fed to raise the discount rate later this year? In the first quarter, US Gross Domestic Product rose only
Gold haters–think Paul Krugman–are fond of attacking gold and advocates of gold as money. They prefer digital monies that reside in computers. Nothing physical, such as coins that can jingle in your pockets, just a statement showing how many digital dollars you have “in the bank,” which is really not a bank but a computer.
And, the stock market — using the Dow Industrials — fails to make new highs. The U.S. economy grew at its slowest pace in two years the first quarter 2016, with GDP rising .5 percent, less than half the gain posted fourth quarter 2015. For some time, the U.S. was the shining star among world
April 15 is behind us, and that gives a feeling of relief to those Americans who labored and toiled in 2015 to provide for themselves and their families while seeing billions of dollars confiscated from their earnings. (And, now they must keep records for years just in case they are later audited by the IRS.)
At the Houston Mises Circle January 30, I sat on a panel and was asked how I saw the gold and silver markets doing in 2016. Basically, I said that metals prices hinged on what the Fed does with interest rates and with how the stock market reacts.
Charles Payne, host of Fox Business News “Making Money with Charles Payne,” may have put his job in jeopardy Friday when he called into question the need for the Fed, the US’s central bank. Make no mistake, central bankers and the people who benefit from central banking are powerful, with tremendous influence in the media.
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