For years, China watchers have warned that banks there are vulnerable to failure because of bad debt that the banks refuse to recognize. Now the IMF says that China’s corporate debt, which stands at 145 percent of Gross Domestic Product, “is a potential risk to the global economy.”
One of the primary tenets of Austrian economic theory is that economies cannot be “managed,” that interference, be it deficit spending, regulations, taxing policies, central bank quantitative easing programs or negative interest rates, will send false signals that will distort decisions made by the private sector, the real driver of economic growth. The bigger the
Austrian economists assert that governments cannot “manage” economies, but that such efforts only make things worse. Japan is a perfect example.
And, the stock market — using the Dow Industrials — fails to make new highs. The U.S. economy grew at its slowest pace in two years the first quarter 2016, with GDP rising .5 percent, less than half the gain posted fourth quarter 2015. For some time, the U.S. was the shining star among world
As noted in G-20 talks up more deficit spending; Deutsche Bank recommends gold, there were loud cries at the Shanghai G-20 Summit for “a worldwide coordinated effort” to head off global recession. Here are a few more details about the G-20 discussions.
Martin Wolf, chief economics commentator at the Financial Times, is calling for the world’s central banks to start electronically depositing money “to every adult citizen.” Wolf’s not calling on only the Fed to implement this policy but all the world’s central banks, which would mean massive inflation around the world that would send investors scurrying
At the Houston Mises Circle January 30, I sat on a panel and was asked how I saw the gold and silver markets doing in 2016. Basically, I said that metals prices hinged on what the Fed does with interest rates and with how the stock market reacts.
The main reason to buy gold and silver is to protect against currency debasement, which is brought on by massive deficit spending that requires the Fed to print dollars to cover debt that could not be sold to private investors.
It’s astounding to hear talking heads blame the stock market collapse on falling oil prices. Lower oil prices should have caused stocks (except oil stocks, of course) to rise. This is especially true of the stocks that make up the Dow Transportation Index.
To Keynesians, easy solutions reside for monetary and economic problems. When the economy is in recession, deficit spend. When inflation heats up (meaning rising prices, which the developed world hasn’t seen for some time), choke back the money supply. Problems solved. Recessions are averted; inflation is held in check. So, if “managing” the economy is