as precious metals surge, says the Financial Times, July 7, 2016. In a glowing report, the Times noted that while “Gold has done predictably well in the wake of Brexit. . . The real star of the show has been silver.” In dollars, silver is up 16% since the Brexit vote but is up 45%
The dollar is a favorite refuge for money seeking safety as the European banking crisis again dominates financial news. Consequently, 10-year US treasury bills are now yielding a record low of 1.39% as money pours into them. (As bond prices are bid higher, yields drop.)
Not surprisingly, Mark Carney, head of the Bank of England, recently said that the central bank would take “whatever action is needed to support growth” in the aftermath of the Brexit vote. Carney’s statements seemed to have been crafted from Mario Draghi’s repeated promises that the European Central Bank would do “whatever it takes” to
For years, China watchers have warned that banks there are vulnerable to failure because of bad debt that the banks refuse to recognize. Now the IMF says that China’s corporate debt, which stands at 145 percent of Gross Domestic Product, “is a potential risk to the global economy.”
One of the primary tenets of Austrian economic theory is that economies cannot be “managed,” that interference, be it deficit spending, regulations, taxing policies, central bank quantitative easing programs or negative interest rates, will send false signals that will distort decisions made by the private sector, the real driver of economic growth. The bigger the
Austrian economists assert that governments cannot “manage” economies, but that such efforts only make things worse. Japan is a perfect example.
And, the stock market — using the Dow Industrials — fails to make new highs. The U.S. economy grew at its slowest pace in two years the first quarter 2016, with GDP rising .5 percent, less than half the gain posted fourth quarter 2015. For some time, the U.S. was the shining star among world
As noted in G-20 talks up more deficit spending; Deutsche Bank recommends gold, there were loud cries at the Shanghai G-20 Summit for “a worldwide coordinated effort” to head off global recession. Here are a few more details about the G-20 discussions.
Martin Wolf, chief economics commentator at the Financial Times, is calling for the world’s central banks to start electronically depositing money “to every adult citizen.” Wolf’s not calling on only the Fed to implement this policy but all the world’s central banks, which would mean massive inflation around the world that would send investors scurrying
At the Houston Mises Circle January 30, I sat on a panel and was asked how I saw the gold and silver markets doing in 2016. Basically, I said that metals prices hinged on what the Fed does with interest rates and with how the stock market reacts.